Trade Deadline Eve

Sorry to usurp Zach, who wrote a quality preview of tomorrow's trade deadline. I just wanted to make a few quick points...

- It's hard to say what to make of all of today's waiver activity. Some big names were unceremoniously dumped, players Zach (and many others) believe could have fetched at least late-round picks from contending teams. In my eyes, the problem is that so many teams have screwy cap situations that they have no choice but to waive these players. So if I'm Ray Shero and I'm calling you, an opposing GM, in an attempt to deal Miro Satan, and you know I'm trying desperately into the playoffs, and you also know I'm right up against the cap, you might try to play hardball with me. If you play hardball with me, I might not be able to make a deal. And since I can't go out and get the reinforcements I need until I clear out some cap room, the only thing I can do is waive Satan, even though he might have gotten me a decent draft pick even one year ago. While some might say it's because of "the economy" - and really, what isn't these days - but it's more because most NHL GMs are too stupid to plan ahead.

- Speaking of NHL GMs, it is my steadfast belief that Islanders GM Garth Snow understands the CBA better than perhaps any other general manager. Aside from the Rick DiPietro deal, in which Charles Wang bypassed Snow and negotiated directly with DiPietro, Snow has never been stuck with a bad contract he can't move. The closest thing we've seen is the recently-waived Jon Sim, who is signed with the Islanders for $1 million for 2009-10, but would probably get that same amount (if not more) if he became a free agent. The point is, Snow knows exactly how long he needs players and, therefore, how long he should sign them. Snow's record in letting players walk away when it's not worth keeping them is exemplary, as evidenced by Tom Poti (42 total points in two seasons at $3.5M per), Viktor Kozlov (27 total goals in two seasons at $2.5M per), Jason Blake (37 total goals in two seasons at $4M per), Ryan Smyth (37 total goals in two seasons at $6M per), Miroslav Satan (16 goals in one season at $3.5M), and Ruslan Fedotenko (13 goals in one season at $2.5M). That's pretty good. Only Blake has gone on to have any real success in his new digs, while Satan has been waived and Smyth is on the block yet again.

The point is this - Snow knows exactly who he's keeping and who he isn't. And with no playoff push to speak of, outside of the need to meet the salary floor, there's no point in keeping any unnecessary players around. So anyone who Snow isn't going to keep will be shopped heavily tonight and tomorrow. We know Bill Guerin's as good as gone; Doug Weight could be right behind him. Guys like Andy Hilbert and Radek Martinek are suddenly being discussed. The Islanders find themselves with a ton of bargaining power and no shortage of suitors; with a litany of reasonable, expiring contracts, the Islanders could build up quite the nice haul of draft picks for the upcoming 2009 Entry Draft, which is said to be the strongest since the epic 2003 draft.

- Part of me totally expects the Rangers to buy, buy, buy. They've invested too much in the team to wave a white flag, and the fanbase could revolt with another disappointment in the playoffs. While there are a ton of teams better than the Rangers in the East, none of those teams (except the Devils) have a difference-maker like Henrik Lundqvist. For this reason, the Rangers will never believe they are very far away. The problem is, they don't have the organizational depth to really do any damage. They only have a handful of significant prospects and really can't afford to lose any of them. It's going to be an interesting deadline for these Rangers - and standing pat with just Sean Avery to show for the deadline is NOT a good idea, if for no other reason than that nobody knows what Sean Avery the Rangers are getting. Are they getting the same old pest who won them 50 games over parts of two seasons? Or are they getting a kindler, gentler Avery who lacks the mean streak the Rangers need? The Rangers would do well to cover themselves either way, but not at the risk of whatever future they have left.

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Enjoy the deadline dealings. We'll be around tomorrow to make sense of it all.

Calm Before the Storm...

The day before the NHL Trade Deadline is always interesting. To me, it's like how the supermarket is always crowded the day before a blizzard or a hurricane - people are getting ready for the next day.

But instead of stocking up on canned corn, American cheese, blueberry preserves, and frozen dinners, NHL GMs are placing players on waivers and making room for additions and preparing for subtractions.

Some surprising names on waivers, too, including Gary Roberts, whom teams have interest in. You would think some team would have atleast offered Tampa Bay a late-round pick for him.

Islander Jon Sim is also on waivers. I asked Islanders' writer Bryan, and he made it seem like the Islanders want him taken so they don't have to have him on the roster next year (he has one more year at $1M left). Makes sense. He has 7 points in 5 games, including 3 assists last night, so maybe some team can take him while he's hot.

Miroslav Satan also was put on waivers by the Penguins. Surprising as well, because while he wasn't having a great year but he is only on a one-year deal, and he can contribute as a 4th line player. His whole career, people have been saying he hasn't been living up to his potential. Well, maybe his potential is 50-60 points a year only. (He also was the team's 4th leading scorer... you think they would atleast have packaged him in a deal for a higher-scoring winger?)

Of course, the big news here (and I guess in Calgary and Dallas) is that Sean Avery is back on the Rangers, immediately making my signed #16 jersey relevant again. His last game was on November 30 against Edmonton, where he scored a goal, had 9 shots, and played just over 18 minutes. Then, he made a joke and was suspended 6 games.

Here's who else has been suspended since Avery "was mean." (I probably shouldn't have put that in quotes since I said it, but, well, you know.) ...

Tomas Plekanec suspended 2 games for tripping. Mikhail Grabovski got 3 games for pushing an official during a scrum. Jarrko Ruutu bites someone and gets 2 games. Evgeny Artyukhin received 2 games for a knee-on-knee hit that had an intent to injure. Denis Gauthier gets 5 games for literally attacking Josh Gorges when he skated up to him and leaped into his head. Tyler Kennedy got 1 game for leaving the bench to fight. And this week, Steve Ott received 1 game for an eye gouge, also an intent to injure.

All of these offenses were less serious than a bad joke aimed at Jack Bauer's estranged daughter (Elisha Cuthbert) and a dirty player (Dion Phaneuf). And while Avery was banished from the league, Frans Nielsen returned from being Superman-ed by Mike Mottau (who received a 2 game penalty).

Hey, atleast Ryan Hollweg didn't get suspended by the NHL in that time. (Of course, that bum hasn't played since early January).

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Anyway, didn't mean to get off topic, but tomorrow should be an interesting day. I don't think the Rangers will be doing too much, because of salary cap concerns. They can't be involved in "big splashes" because players like Scott Gomez, Chris Drury, and Wade Redden are nearly untradeable (because of the length/amount of the contract; poor performance; no-trade clauses). And they did have a productive day today, getting Avery, and putting Aaron Voros and Eric Reitz on waivers.

A couple of players, like Dmitri Kalinin and Nigel Dawes (and yes, even Petr Prucha) have expiring contracts and could be jettisoned for picks or equal roster players, like when Aaron Ward was shipped out for Paul Mara. (I could definitely see it happening in Kalinin's case.)

I do wish that they atleast got a low-round pick for Voros, but maybe that wasn't going to be happening so they put him on waivers, hoping he gets picked up by someone, or atleast he'll be off the books and playing in Hartford.

Then again, maybe Glen Sather only contacted John Davidson in St. Louis and Don Maloney in Phoenix.

We Got Screwed!

The feel-good story of Wade Dubielewicz returning to the Islanders has come to a crashing halt. TSN reports that Dubie has been claimed off waivers by the Columbus Blue Jackets. Yes, the same Columbus Blue Jackets that have Steve Mason and his 1.81 GAA, not to mention Pascal Leclaire, who finished 7th in GAA last year.

When Zach texted me to pass along the bad news (he heard it on XM), I didn't believe it and I still don't believe it. Dubielewicz is a guy that 30 teams passed on last year and lost his starting job in the KHL, of all places. That he couldn't pass through waivers is a little surprising. Not that Dubie isn't a good goalie or anything, but most Islanders fans thought it was a sure thing. Not so. What's most surprising, though, is that the Blue Jackets claimed Dubie. They've had great goaltending for the past two seasons. Mason is a legit Vezina candidate, and Leclaire, coming off a breakout year, is due back at the end of the month. Does Columbus really need a third goalie? Are they attempting to trade Leclaire? Will they end up dumping Dubie once Leclaire returns? These are questions that will be answered over time. And it at least gives us hope that Dubie could become available in the future.

For now, though, Islanders fans have to be disappointed. In a season that has been an unmitigated disaster in every way, this was something to make the Islanders faithful happy. It just figures that even something as simple as bringing in a former backup goalie could get screwed up in a season such as this one.