Don't Believe The Hype

If I close my eyes, I can picture what so-called "experts" are writing and what they're saying.

"I'll tell you what - I like this New York Islanders team."

"This is a team that will never say die."

"These Islanders do not know the meaning of the word 'quit'."

"Last year's Islanders team folded in the clutch. But not this year's team."

"Opposing teams can no longer take the New York Islanders for granted."

Gag. I'm not trying to be the turd in the punch bowl here, but just about all of these quotes could have been attributed to the Islanders we saw twelve months ago. You know, the team that was hovering around .500 (or, as Howie Rose would say, "The NHL's definition of .500") and the eighth seed for the first two months of the season. Ultimately, as the season progressed, blown leads became blown games, the entire team got hurt, and that was that. This year has gone much the same way, but the Isles managed to not blow a couple of games. So now, I'm supposed to be excited? Sorry, it doesn't work that way.

Here's the thing. Everyone else might be surprised about the Isles' success of late and the sudden emergence of Jeff Tambellini. I'm not.

Tambellini

Let's discuss Tambellini first, because he's the easy one. When Mike Piazza left the Mets to sign with the Oakland A's as a designated hitter, he said the hardest adjustment was keeping his mental focus when he wasn't hitting. As a DH, all he could do was hit, and if he was hitting poorly, it was hard for him to feel confident. After all, he couldn't pat himself on the back for catching a good game anymore. Most pure scorers in the NHL are not unlike designated hitters in baseball - they need to do their one thing extremely well in order to feel confident.

Tambellini, obviously, took a long time to come around as a scorer in the NHL. Quite frankly, aside from the past week, there's no proof that he will ever become a consistent scorer in the NHL. But Tambellini has been smart enough to focus on playing a physical game over the past 40 or so NHL games he's played. This has not only helped the team and his development, but it's helped his own psyche as well. Now, if he's not scoring, he can contribute in other ways and know he's making a difference. And sometimes, all it takes is for a scorer to not think about scoring for him to suddenly be presented with great scoring opportunities.

Yankee fans out there know that a relaxed player is that much more likely to succeed. It seems that all it took was one home run for Alex Rodriguez to transform from vilified slugger into Captain Clutch. We won't go that far with Jeff Tambellini yet. But this is truly Tambellini's chance. With the support of the fans and tangible proof that his hard work is paying off, he's got a great chance to earn another contract with the Islanders.

Level of Competition

Here's the thing about the Islanders. They play extremely well against good teams. Think about all the third-period leads they've blown over the past two years. Can you recall them blowing a lead against an inferior team? That's because it never happened.

On Friday night, you might have heard Howie and Billy talking about the Capitals playing to the level of their competition. This is usually a criticism levied against good teams. However, you don't have to be a good team to be guilty of this. The Islanders do it all the time. They'll give a team like Washington or Pittsburgh a run for their money, then go out and stink up the joint against Florida the next night.

According to the incomparable PlayoffStatus.com, the Islanders have the highest strength of schedule thus far in the Eastern Conference. That is, their opponents have earned a higher percentage of potential points than the opponents of any other team in the East. In most cases, you'd look at a team's strength of schedule and assume that if they've done well against good teams, they'll also do well against poor teams. Sadly, that's never been the case with the Islanders.

In four nights, the Islanders scored wins over, in terms of points, the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th best teams in the East. This is an amazing accomplishment, and Islanders fans are right to be excited. However, I've seen this before, and I know that the real test for the Islanders is how they perform against teams like Tampa Bay and Toronto. I know they can hang with the best teams in the league, even if "hanging" means being underestimated and then getting destroyed when the sleeping giant awakens. But I don't know that the Islanders can win the games a good team is supposed to win.

As crazy as it sounds, November might be a tougher test for the Islanders than October was. The Islanders played 13 games in October; aside from Carolina, all of their opponents were eighth or better in their respective conferences. In November, the Islanders will play some good teams such as New Jersey and an underrated Atlanta team, but they will also play Minnesota (15th in West), St. Louis (13th in West), Florida (13th in East), Toronto (15th in East) and the aforementioned Hurricanes. If the Isles can play these teams with the same intensity as they showed against the likes of the Rangers and Capitals, I'll feel a lot better about this team. As it stands now, though, I'm cautiously optimistic. I'm enjoying this recent run of success, but I'm taking it at face value. As Islanders fans, judging from past experiences, that's really all we can do.